Sep 18, 2026 · Weekly issue

Before the Breakout: AbbVie Inc (ABBV)

Picked by a fixed rule: the open setup with the highest score among US stocks with a market cap above $5 billion and average daily dollar volume above $50 million. Setup grade: C (partial technical structure), score 58/100.

Trend

Uptrend

RSI (14)

59

ATR (14)

5.5988

Distance from moving averages: 20-day +1.71% · 50-day +3.57% · 150-day +14.91% · 200-day +16.26%

Nearest support: 263.81 (tested 3x)

Nearest Fibonacci level: 0.236 (260.35)

Rising channel bullish · confidence 63%

Breakout level

264.08

Technical target

284.43

Invalidation (ATR)

251.48

Reward-to-risk ratio: 1.6

The structure on the chart

AbbVie Inc (ABBV) was trading around $264.02 at the time of this issue, about 0.0% below a resistance zone near $265. The pattern the engine identified: rising channel.

Trend and momentum

The daily trend is up. Price was above all four moving averages we track (20, 50, 150 and 200 days). RSI at 59 was not at an extreme, which leaves room to move.

Volume and liquidity

The stock has an average daily dollar volume of about $1 billion and a market cap of about $464 billion, liquid enough that even larger orders face a negligible bid-ask spread.

What would confirm a breakout

A daily close above the $265 zone on above-average volume, followed by a retest of the level from above that holds. An intraday pop that closes back below the level is not a breakout.

What would cancel the setup

A daily close below the low of the consolidation, a low-volume breakout that fails to hold for two days, or the broad market slipping below its 200-day average. If that happens, the setup is simply off.

The setup updates in the app with every candle, including the hourly trigger, the live score and the pattern's track record. See the full setup on the chart, no sign-up needed

What happened to last week's pick

Oracle Corporation (ORCL): broke out and was stopped out: a loss, recorded as is (-1.00R). Read that issue.

The newsletter's track record

This was the first issue. Future issues will report how each pick played out.

Each pick is logged as a signal and resolved by the candles that follow, like every other signal in the signal log. This is a setup, not a forecast: in our record about a quarter of setups never break out at all, and fewer than half of those that do reach their target.

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