Sep 11, 2026 · Weekly issue

Before the Breakout: Oracle Corporation (ORCL)

Picked by a fixed rule: the open setup with the highest score among US stocks with a market cap above $5 billion and average daily dollar volume above $50 million. Setup grade: A (clear technical structure), score 85/100.

Trend

Uptrend

RSI (14)

54

ATR (14)

7.1240

Distance from moving averages: 20-day +2.18% · 50-day +8.88% · 150-day -4.07% · 200-day -8.45%

Nearest resistance: 162.45 (tested 2x)

Nearest Fibonacci level: 0.236 (151.78)

Consolidation below resistance bullish

Breakout level

162.45

Technical target

187.28

Invalidation (ATR)

146.42

Reward-to-risk ratio: 1.6

The structure on the chart

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) was trading around $152.94 at the time of this issue, about 6.2% below a resistance zone near $160. The pattern the engine identified: consolidation below resistance.

Trend and momentum

The daily trend is up. Price was above the 20-day, 50-day moving averages. It was below the 150-day, 200-day moving averages. RSI at 54 was not at an extreme, which leaves room to move.

Volume and liquidity

The stock has an average daily dollar volume of about $4 billion and a market cap of about $466 billion, liquid enough that even larger orders face a negligible bid-ask spread.

What would confirm a breakout

A daily close above the $160 zone on above-average volume, followed by a retest of the level from above that holds. An intraday pop that closes back below the level is not a breakout.

What would cancel the setup

A daily close below the low of the consolidation, a low-volume breakout that fails to hold for two days, or the broad market slipping below its 200-day average. If that happens, the setup is simply off.

The setup updates in the app with every candle, including the hourly trigger, the live score and the pattern's track record. See the full setup on the chart, no sign-up needed

The newsletter's track record

This was the first issue. Future issues will report how each pick played out.

Each pick is logged as a signal and resolved by the candles that follow, like every other signal in the signal log. This is a setup, not a forecast: in our record about a quarter of setups never break out at all, and fewer than half of those that do reach their target.

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